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Lennar's Q2 doesn't convince me to buy

Lennar (NYSE: LEN), whose colleagues include Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) and D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI), reported earnings for the second quarter on Thursday. Since it is a homebuilder, you can expect that it would be a tough one to look at in many respects. There was a revenue decline of over 20%. And there was no profit. Lennar said it lost 76 cents per diluted share.

According to Michael Fowlkes and his earnings preview, Lennar did not satisfy Wall Street's outlook. Analysts were expecting a loss somewhere closer to 63 cents per share. That didn't stop the stock from going up, though. Lennar closed higher yesterday by over 17%. Volume was likewise incredible. Apparently, the market was focusing on the revenue beat.

Continue reading Lennar's Q2 doesn't convince me to buy

Hovnanian's Q1 shows an improvement

Hovnanian Enterprises (NYSE: HOV), a home builder whose related companies include Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL), Lennar Corp. (NYSE: LEN), and D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI), reported Q2 results on Tuesday after the bell. The company reported a loss of $1.50 per share (the results included a gain related to debt extinguishment). That unfortunately did not meet analyst expectations according to Trey Thoelcke's earnings preview. Analysts were looking for a loss of $1.26 per share.

However, things do look better. Last year at this time, the loss recorded by Hovnanian was a whopping $5.29 per share. Revenues, however, plummeted to $398 million from over $770 million. Analysts were expecting only $348 million according to the preview.

Continue reading Hovnanian's Q1 shows an improvement

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Zombie homebuilders keep shuffling along

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says this group simply refuses to merge, so you can safely sell them all.

One look at Toll Brothers' (NYSE: TOL) (Cramer's Take) quarter today tells us we aren't there yet. They still have plenty of money. They still have plenty of cancellations. They still need a tax credit for more business, which we know they aren't going to get because this administration doesn't want it. No bottom. In fact, Toll and all the others are still where they were a year ago. Independent, hanging on.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Zombie homebuilders keep shuffling along

Pending home sales rise in December, according to NAR

The troubled housing market got a bit of good news today, as the National Association of Realtors stated that pending home sales rose during the month of December.

According to today's report, pending home sales increased by 6.3% in December, coming off an all-time low that it set in November. The news comes as potential home buyers are starting to show interest in deeply-discounted homes.

Continue reading Pending home sales rise in December, according to NAR

Earnings preview: Homebuilders Centex, Pulte Homes, and DR Horton

Given last week's news that new home sales have plunged and that new home prices continue to fall, what is Wall Street expecting from homebuilders Centex Corp. (NYSE: CTX), Pulte Homes Inc. (NYSE: PHM), and DR Horton Inc. (NYSE: DHI) when they report quarterly results this week?

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters anticipate that Dallas-based Centex will report that it narrowed its net loss in its fiscal third quarter to $3.27 per share. In the same period of last year, the loss was $7.94 per share. Revenue in the third quarter is expected to total $895.3 million, down 53.0% from last year. For the full year, the loss is expected to reach $7.36 per share on revenue of $4.0 billion, which compares to a $21.69 per share loss on $8.3 billion in sales in 2008. Centex has posted bigger-than-expected losses in the past five quarters. So the consensus recommendation of analysts remains to hold CTX, though the long-range EPS growth forecast is 9.0%. The share price has fallen 20.0% just since the beginning of the year, and it is 70.7% lower than it was a year ago. Centex suspended its quarterly dividends back in October.

Continue reading Earnings preview: Homebuilders Centex, Pulte Homes, and DR Horton

Stocks in the news: GM, F, JPM, KBH, TM, FNM, MO, HUN, AAPL, HON ... (update)

General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) and Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) may get help from the Bush administration. President Bush said in an interview today that "an abrupt bankruptcy for the autos could be devastating for the economy." He signaled he may use TARP funds for that, but didn't provide a timeline or other details. GM shares are up 4.8% in premarket, Ford's shares are up 2%. Shares of both opened about 3% higher.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) probably will report fourth-quarter losses this week on shrinking asset values and a decline in fees for businesses. But even the deep cost cutting measures the investment firms -- now turned banks -- may not help help shareholders enough as the companies face another year of slumping revenue. The demand for their services is and will continue to be limited in what is the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. GS shares are down 2% in premarket trade.

Banco Santander (NYSE: STD), Nomura (NYSE: NMR) and Royal Bank of Scotland (NYSE: RBS) are among the victims ex-Nasdaq Chairman Bernard Madoff' $50 billion Ponzi scheme. Santander said its customers had an exposure of around $3.1 billion, while Japan's Nomura has an exposure of around $302 million. STD shares are down 1.5% and RBS shares up 1.7% in premarket trade.

[Update 10:00 am:
Huntsman Corp. (NYSE: HUN) shares were down about 35% a little after the open after it has ended its $6.5 billion agreement to be taken over by Hexion Specialty Chemicals Inc. and agreed to a $1 billion legal settlement.
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) shares were down about 4% a little after the open on a downgrade. Goldman Sachs downgraded the iPhone and Mac maker to Neutral from Buy due to deteriorating consumer spending.
JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM) shares slumped nearly 6% after a Merrill Lynch analyst downgraded JPM to Underperform from Neutral.
Honeywell (NYSE: HON) shares gained nearly 7.5% after the manufacturer affirmed a lower 2009 outlook and said it expects profits to fall 6% to 16% as the deepening global recession hits markets it serves.]

Continue reading Stocks in the news: GM, F, JPM, KBH, TM, FNM, MO, HUN, AAPL, HON ... (update)

Stocks in the news: GM, F, BAC, MER, EBAY, AAPL, YHOO, DHI, KBH ...

General Motors Corp. (NYSE: GM) -- as it runs short of cash and attempts to raise $4 billion from asset sales, GM has asked real estate agent Jones Lang LaSalle for help in raising up to $257 million from the sale and leaseback of some of its European offices and other property assets, as well as inquired about its options regarding the Renaissance Center, the Detroit skyscraper complex that serves as its headquarters, the Financial Times reported.

Meanwhile, adding insult to injury, GM has asked the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration to prevent public tracking of a jet it leases.

Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) is also ignoring public outcry and is so far resisting pressure to cut the salary of its chief executive. Maybe asking emergency help from the federal government requires that large compensation...

Staying with automarkers, Deutsche Bank analyst Rod Lache said the scales are tipping in favor of a federal bailout from GM and Ford, MarketWatch said. GM traded 12% higher and Ford shares were 15% higher in the first minutes of trade.

Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) -- The Federal Reserve Board officially approved BAC.'s acquisition of Merril Lynch (NYSE: MER) on Wednesday in a $50 billion deal first announced in September. BAC shares were nearly 3% higher and MER's over 4% higher in the first few minutes of trade.

Continue reading Stocks in the news: GM, F, BAC, MER, EBAY, AAPL, YHOO, DHI, KBH ...

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Recent moves finally address housing

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says you just can't be as negative as you were before the latest actions.

It's been right to be more than the average bear for months now. But if you believe that housing played some role in the downturn, then you have to believe that the latest moves are very meaningful for that trashed market.

We have had two major problems in housing: affordability and the ease and cost of mortgage money. We got news this week that ameliorated both difficulties, and we cannot sniff at them as much as it has paid to sniff at everything else that has been done.

First, the government's buy of GSE paper revives a moribund market and ends a lot of federal indecision. If you recall when the government confiscated the Fannie (NYSE: FNM) (Cramer's Take) and Freddie (NYSE: FRE) (Cramer's Take) preferreds and therefore made FNM paper more dangerous, the government at the same time said that it would make mortgage rates come down, presumably by buying a ton of Fannie/Freddie paper. Instead it made a half-hearted effort by buying about $25 billion in paper and then disappeared!

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Recent moves finally address housing

Safest cars in U.S., best/worst celebrity endorsements & 7 ways to haggle down retail prices - Today in Money 11/25

In the News:

Ford, Volvo Top List osf Safest U.S. Vehicles
The most new cars and trucks ever earned spots on the insurance industry's annual list of the safest vehicles. For the 2009 model year, Ford and Volvo have 16 vehicles on the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety's list of the safest cars, followed by Honda Motor with 13 vehicles. Seventy-two cars, trucks and SUVs received the top safety pick designation for the 2009 model year, more than double the number of vehicles in 2008.
http://www.usatoday.com/money/autos/2008-11-24-ford-volvo-car-safety_N.htm

GM: Death of the American Dream

General Motors was the Great American Company. But by clinging to the attributes that made it an icon, GM drove itself to ruin.
http://money.cnn.com/2008/11/21/magazines/fortune/taylor_generalmotors.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2008112506

Continue reading Safest cars in U.S., best/worst celebrity endorsements & 7 ways to haggle down retail prices - Today in Money 11/25

Stocks in the news: BHP, RTP, HPQ, SBUX, ADI, F, DHI, GOOG, LEN, DLTR ... (update)

BHP Billiton (NYSE: BHP) dropped its $66 billion Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) takeover bid after a year-long pursuit, citing the deteriorating economy, the rout in commodities prices and the credit-market squeeze for derailing the biggest hostile takeover. Rio Tinto shares dropped 34.6%, while BHP rose over 13.7% in premarket trading (8:04 am). At around 11:00 am, BHP stock gained about 18%, while RTP's declined over 32%.

Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) posted impressive, better-than-expected results Monday afternoon thanks to its diversified business. These included 21% growth in laptop sales, and a totoal revenue growth of 19%. Still, Wall Street doesn't have confidence in how the computer company will do as the economy worsens, and some think it will do worse than management believes. HPQ shares declined 1.3% in premarket trading (8:03 am). HPQ shares declined 6.2% as of 11 am.

Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) warned yet again late Monday of an "extremely challenging" fiscal year as it forecast slumping sales. It seems that selling high-end coffee during a recession is a tricky business. For fiscal 2009, which began Sept. 29, Starbucks said it expects to see a drop in sales at coffee shops that it opened at least a year ago, extending a trend already evident in 2008. While warning of another round of restructuring, SBUX also said October store traffic has actually improved. SBUX shares declined over 5% in after-hours trading Monday. SBUX shares declined about 1% as of 11 am.

Continue reading Stocks in the news: BHP, RTP, HPQ, SBUX, ADI, F, DHI, GOOG, LEN, DLTR ... (update)

Cramer on BloggingStocks: 'Cheap' is meaningless

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says tons of stocks look like good buys, and they go down all the time.

All weekend I heard it. Stocks have gotten too cheap. Put 'em away cheap. Don't worry about 'em cheap. To which I say, stocks are only cheap if the companies make it. Stocks are only cheap if the bondholders don't claim them.

Every day I see cheap stocks. Ford (NYSE: F) (Cramer's Take) reported this morning. Ridiculously cheap. How cheap is Sprint (NYSE: S) (Cramer's Take), for heaven's sake? Did you see the Sunrise Senior Living (NYSE: SRZ) (Cramer's Take) numbers? That stock should show up when you enter "cheap stock" in Google. Except Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) (Cramer's Take) comes up.

When Warren Buffett says stocks are cheap, or Jeremy Grantham or Steve Leuthold or Jeremy Siegel, it's very heartening. You just want to go out there and buy cheap stocks like CBS (NYSE: CBS) (Cramer's Take) and Williams-Sonoma (NYSE: WSM) (Cramer's Take) and Ann Taylor (NYSE: ANN) (Cramer's Take) and Talbots (NYSE: TLB) (Cramer's Take).

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: 'Cheap' is meaningless

Analyst calls: ANN, AIV, DHI, BA, BT, LINTA, B, WW ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Stephens upgraded shares of Ann Taylor (NYSE: ANN) to Overweight from Equal Weight to reflect the company's restructuring program, reductions in inventory and share repurchase program.
  • AIMCO (NYSE: AIV) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
  • UBS upgraded D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI) to Neutral from Sell.
  • Argus believes BigBand Networks (NASDAQ: BBND) is succeeding by adding new customers and driving new business with existing customers. Shares were upgraded to Buy from Hold.
  • ThinkPanmure expects Capella Education (NASDAQ: CPLA) to attract students at a faster rate in the coming quarters and to improve operating margins. The firm raised shares to Buy from Accumulate and raised its target to $60 from $62.
  • Advanced Medical (NYSE:EYE) was lifted to Hold from Underperform at Jefferies.
Analyst downgrades:

Continue reading Analyst calls: ANN, AIV, DHI, BA, BT, LINTA, B, WW ...

Cramer on BloggingStocks: I won't get excited this time

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the scope of this crisis needs to be recognized.

The real deal is upon us. The October session that we always seem to get, the one that looks like we need intraday Fed meetings and lifelines to banks and a flood of liquidity and ... oops, we've already done that!

Yep. So often we have had the real hideous looks, only at the last minute to have the darned defeat we need to start over be defeated by some optimistic yahoos who come out of the woodwork and say, "buy, buy, buy!"

I don't want it to happen this time. We have to have some recognition that Ford (NYSE: F) (Cramer's Take) and GM (NYSE: GM) (Cramer's Take) and Chrysler matter and that they are all teetering, that the Boeing (NYSE: BA) (Cramer's Take) strike is going to soon shut down the part of American manufacturing that is not auto and that housing took a step down last month of unfathomable proportions. If you don't believe me, go read the Ryland (NYSE: RYL) (Cramer's Take) release: cancellations spiked up again! We will not hold those July lows that now make the HGX housing sector index run up look like a total ploy to make us feel better. When are Horton (NYSE: DHI) (Cramer's Take) and Pulte (NYSE: PHM) (Cramer's Take) going to merge anyway!

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: I won't get excited this time

KB Home: Is it a buy?

KB Home (NYSE: KBH), whose colleagues include D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE: DHI) and Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN), reported earnings for the third quarter on Friday, and as one might have expected, they weren't the stuff of Wall Street dreams. This article gives a nice summary of the release. The loss per share worsened like crazy during the quarter compared to the year-ago data. The loss this year was $1.87 per share, and that was about four times the amount lost in the year-ago period. One thing to keep in mind, however, is that, on a non-GAAP basis in the previous year, the loss was $6.19 per share. The disparity here was caused by the addition of gains from discontinued operations in Q3 2007. No matter, expectations were for $1.22 per share for the current quarter, so KB Home nevertheless missed by a wide margin.

What fascinates me about KB Home is how the stock rebounded from its intraday low. I expected to see the shares in the dumps as I began to write this piece. Interestingly enough, as of this writing, shares are actually up over 1%! I wasn't the only one to notice this phenomenon. Dividend.com also mentioned how interesting the strong price action has been. In fact, at the time of this writing, AOL Finance says that KB Home's stock is up over 16% for the three-month period and up over 20% for the one-month period. What is this telling me? Does this mean I should buy the stock? I also should point out that the stock is not languishing at the 52-week low, either.

Well, it would have been pretty scary to buy KB Home at the 52-week low. But, I say it is kind of scary to buy KB Home now. If you think there is strength with this stock, then I say, at the very least, you've got to wait until it comes down before even thinking of buying. I just can't get myself to consider this homebuilder after seeing it miss estimates. Plus, we aren't out of the bad housing slump yet. The price action does give me pause, and I concede that you have to consider the effect of the discontinued operations on last year's earnings number. Still, it is my opinion that staying away from KB Home is best for now. The final decision, however, is yours.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.

Analyst calls: AAI, AMR, CAL, POT, AIG, DHI, PHM, GS, JPM, LOW ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • UBS believes US airlines estimates are too low and will move higher. The firm upgraded AirTran (NYSE: AAI), AMR Corp (NYSE: AMR), Continental (NYSE: CAL), Delta (NYSE: DAL) and Northwest (NYSE: NWA) to Buy from Neutral and JetBlue (NASDAQ: JBLU) to Neutral from Sell.
  • JMP Securities upgraded DealerTrack (NASDAQ: TRAK) to OUtperform from Market Perform as they believe 2H08 guidance represents a floor and that 2009 estimates are achievable, among other reasons.
  • Potash (NYSE: POT) and Mosaic (NYSE: MOS) were raised to Buy from Hold at Soleil.
  • Argus upgraded Seagate (NYSE: STX) to Buy from Hold on Friday.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Jefferies downgraded Citrix Systems (NASDAQ: CTXS) to Underperform from Hold as they do not see a catalyst for the company to grow into 2009 consensus estimates. The firm lowered their target price to $25 from $32.
  • Citigroup said following Lehman's (NYSE: LEH) bankruptcy, they expect a distressed-sale of American International's (NYSE: AIG) MBS portfolio, resulting in the worst quarter yet for the company. Shares were cut to Hold from Buy.
  • D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI) was downgraded to Sell from Hold and Pulte Homes (NYSE: PHM) was downgraded to Hold from Sell at Citigroup.
  • Merrill downgraded Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) to Neutral from Buy and JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) to Underperform from Neutral.

Continue reading Analyst calls: AAI, AMR, CAL, POT, AIG, DHI, PHM, GS, JPM, LOW ...

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IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-223.328,280.74
NASDAQ-49.201,796.52
S&P 500-26.91896.42

Last updated: July 04, 2009: 06:39 AM

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